行业资讯

CIBC:今晚美国CPI或为“不速之客”

日期:2018-03-13
周二(3月13日)亚市早盘,美元指数低位徘徊于89.90附近,上日小幅收阴。日内市场聚焦美国CPI数据。

针对美国CPI下的美元前景,加拿大帝国商业银行撰文分析如下:

该行认为,日内美国的CPI数据可能让我们得到又一迹象,即通胀回升的速度不如1月那么快。

我们预期整体通胀将上升0.1%,核心通胀将略低于市场普遍预期。
CIBC:今晚美国CPI或为“不速之客”(图1)
我们已经看到上周五的薪资增长小跌,本周的核心CPI可能也会不温不火。1月份的加快多数因经常动荡的地区表现强劲,而随着波动性回归,预计2月仅温和增长0.1%。

这可能令市场削减对美联储升息的激进预期,预计美元可能会回吐近期多数的反弹涨幅。

北京时间3月13日08:58,美元指数报89.89。

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