行业资讯

巴克莱资本:欧元/美元2018年走势前瞻

日期:2018-01-19
周五(1月19日)亚市早盘,欧元/美元维持区间震荡,上日触低反弹。

  

针对欧元/美元的前景表现,巴克莱资本(Barclays Capital)研究团队撰文分析如下:

  

该行表示,鉴于已经上调欧元/美元的预期,目前预期该汇价在2018年将交投在1.22水平附近。

  

欧元区强劲的经济增长以及欧洲央行退出宽松政策的预期进一步强化欧元。

  

尽管有迹象表明欧元走势可能已经超出基本面,但我们认为这准确反映了制度性风险的降低,而且可能会持续下去。

  
 

巴克莱资本:欧元/美元2018年走势前瞻(图1)

不过,欧元不太可能再受益于其在2017年开始的大规模空头头寸和政治因素。今年它将面对上升的套息劣势以及在意大利的政治挑战。

  

我们预期这些因素将导致欧元/美元在区间内交投,中心位于1.22水平。

  

北京时间1月19日10:23,欧元/美元报1.2249/52。
 

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