如预期一致，联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)在12月会议上升息25个基点至1.25%-1.50%。此举实现了美联储在今年升息3次的承诺，这也是2015年末以来的第5次升息。
政策声明中较上次会议变化相对较少。多数变化是剔除了关于飓风对就业和通胀数据的影响的言论。新的声明表明，飓风的大部分影响已经过去，不会对经济前景产生实质性影响。货币政策被视为保持宽松，并与强劲的就业市场状况保持一致，直至通胀回到2%的目标。
尽管政策声明没有实质性改变，但对实际GDP增长的预期已显著上调。美联储对2018年实际GDP增长率的预估中值为2.5%，高于9月会议的2.1%。
我们预计美联储将在2018年升息3次，美联储对通胀及经济增长的预期与我们的预测大体一致，如果经济增长加速推动通胀走高，那么进一步加息将是合理的。
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