周四(12月7日)亚市早盘，英镑/美元维持区间震荡，目前徘徊在1.3385附近，此前两日该汇价连续走低。
野村证券(Nomura)外汇策略研究团队撰文就英镑/美元前景进行讨论，具体内容如下：
该行认为，在未来几天内，有70%的可能性英国将有足够的政治意愿来解决边界问题。
1、如果英国取得一定进展，将会令市场大感意外，有可能开始进行贸易协议的计划，这将在短期内促使英镑/美元大涨2-3%。
2、但是，如果北爱尔兰问题的延迟解决导致谈判失败，我们认为这将导致英镑/美元下跌1.5%左右，重返市场定价去的进展之前的水平。所有这些尾部风险导致政府垮台的可能性在我们看来是非常低的，但是很可能会看到英镑/美元跌至1.30下方，跌向1.28水平。
北京时间12月7日10:01，英镑/美元报1.3384/88。
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