行业资讯

野村证券:2018年是欧元盛宴!3个理由顺势买入

日期:2017-12-06
周三(12月6日)亚市早盘,欧元/美元位于1.1825附近水平徘徊。

日内野村证券(Nomura)外汇策略研究团队撰文讨论了欧元汇率前景,主要从资金流动性方面来考虑。主要内容如下:

汇市的中期资金流动平衡应倾向于买入更多的欧元,从而支持欧元在2018年表现靓丽。

预计到2018年,固定收益资金流入将降至负值,这将使基本的平衡保持盈余状态。

野村证券:2018年是欧元盛宴!3个理由顺势买入(图1)

主要由以下三个原因:

首先,欧洲央行(ECB)缩减规模将缓解欧元区债券供应和需求状况,吸引更多外国需求,同时放缓欧元区投资者购买外国债券的意愿;

其次,欧元区债券市场负收益率债券的比例降低,这将对全球固定收益资金流动产生非线性影响;

第三,近期欧元区的政治风险事件可能对全球固定收益资金流动产生更温和的影响。

北京时间08:30,欧元/美元报1.1823/27。

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