行业资讯

多头反攻战打响 今晚美联储纪要能否再献利好?

日期:2017-11-22

今日耶伦讲话中提及加息在美国经济方面的重要性,促使投资者越发关注今晚即将公布的美联储会议纪要。此外,周二(11月21日)特朗普炮轰朝鲜为“恐怖主义”国家的事件再度刺激市场避险情绪,现金银获利好短线飙升,再度站上1280美元。

今日开盘,现货黄金延续窄幅震荡。截至北京时间8:56,现货黄金暂交投于1281.70美元/盎司,涨幅0.12%。

  

现货黄金小时图
 
耶伦:过快退出宽松政策经济将下滑。美联储主席耶伦今日表示,货币政策面临双重风险,收紧政策过快可能造成伤害,使通胀低于2%,而加息过慢也有危险,导致就业市场过热。她说:“如果我们过快退出宽松政策,在极端情况下就可能会导致经济下滑。”

耶伦表示,目前4.1%的失业率处于或低于就业目标水平,而目前的通胀水平“合理地接近”2%的目标。

尽管12月加息预期已被市场消化,但是今晚即将公布的美联储会议纪要仍然是市场关注的重点,投资者将从纪要中寻找未来加息的线索及货币政策的方向,这对无息资产黄金的走势非常重要。

如果今晚纪要显示是鹰派基调,那么黄金将会有进一步的抛压;如果基调是偏鸽派的,金价可能会得到一定的支撑,再度上行只是时间问题。

后市展望

华侨银行(OCBC)分析师Barnabas Gan称,12月加息没有悬念,市场观察者将更关注下次会议的发言。

GoldSilver Central私人财富主管Loh Mun Chun称,耶伦确定离职的消息带来了一些波动,鲍威尔的利率政策让人关注。

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