行业资讯

一图看懂下任美联储主席鲍威尔对黄金的影响

日期:2017-11-08
上周四(11月2日)白宫正式宣布提名鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)为下一任美联储主席。图表家整合国内外资料,为投资者梳理下一任主席的货币政策立场。

鲍威尔,现年64岁,美国共和党人,曾在奥巴马任期内担任美联储理事,此前一直在私募股权行业工作,曾任凯雷集团合伙人。

虽然鲍威尔并非经济学家,也未获得经济学博士学位,但相比于其他几位热门候选热,他在金融行业的经验更加丰富,华尔街将其视作松绑监管的可能,能够一定程度上保持政策的一致性。

图表家将鲍威尔近十次关于利率的讲话进行汇总,结果显示

鲍威尔的讲话中规中矩,与美联储当前的立场一致,支持渐进式的加息,相对于其他候选人,鲍威尔离场偏向于鸽派(偏宽松): 

一图看懂下任美联储主席鲍威尔对黄金的影响

据前美联储理事会经济学家Julia Coronado称,鲍威尔对于主导货币政策,更偏向于推动共识,让大部分成员共同合作推动美联储的货币政策正常化。如果不是采取激进型的紧缩货币政策,市场很可能将其视为放缓加息的步伐。

综上,若鲍威尔上台后,维持鸽派的态度,可能会打压美元的走势,从而提振黄金价格。

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