行业资讯

2016年黄金逞强 超半数分析师预计连续上涨

日期:2016-01-11
         尽管周五(1月8日)黄金在美国强劲的非农数据打压一度下挫,但Kitco每周的黄金调查显示,机构及散户投资者均认为,今年黄金的上涨本周才开始拉开序幕,短期内涨势还将继续。

  本周有464位人士参与在线调查,其中304位,或66%下周看多黄金;117位或25%看空黄金;43位或9%保持中立。
 
  在专业人士中,调查了34位,有18位回复,其中10人,或56%认为下周黄金价更高;有4位或22%认为价更低,有4位保持中立。参与调查的市场人士包括黄金交易商,投行,期货交易员及技术分析师。
 
  大多数分析师看多黄金的未来,因为股市动荡及中国经济带来的不确定性仍将继续。iiTrader.高级策略师Ted Sloup认为,“当看股市遭抛售,金价大涨时我认为这个情况将会持续几周,黄金又有了另一个支撑。”Forexlive网站货产品策略师 Adam Button说,下周市场会趋于冷静,但避险需求还是很强劲。
 
  Adrian Day资产管理公司(Adrian Day Asset Management)总裁Adrian Day说,股市的任何企稳都会对黄金形成抛压,然而金价走弱的时候可能也是买进的时候。他说:“在未来的6-8周将是黄金季节性最强的时期,卖空和等着进场的投资者都很多,我们不可能通过抛售来矫正市场。”
 
  市场(The Markets)新闻编辑Ken Morrison说,他预期下周多头回补将会增多。他说:“下周市场将不会像这四天那样面临那么多不确定因素,如果金价回撤至1085美元/盎司,这不惊奇,但我还是坚持认为金价在第一季度会长期走高。”
 
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