行业资讯

金价/油价突破8年均值 分析师称金价尚有上涨空间

日期:2014-10-16
   近期产品价格的下跌是市场的一大焦点,周三(10月15日)金价触及5周最高水平,而产品价格则跌至几年新低。
  相关人士称,金价/油价突破了其8年以来的区域。周三,该比率在15.2左右,高于8年均值14.4。在2008年3月,该比率曾低至6.7,而在2011年9月,该比率高达22.5。自2013年7月以来,金价/油价一直在11.8至14的区域间。
  相关商品策略人士认为,金价还有一些上升空间。
  相关人士认为,由于美国以外经济增长的阴影,对美国何时升息市场有所怀疑。
  相关人士说:“我认为需求的下降和供应的增长会抑制油价,而同时对利率更为不确定的环境则会支撑黄金。”
  不过相关高级投资策略师认为,金价的涨势和油价的跌势都将是很短暂的。
  相关人士说:“产品市场面对的困难可能会持续到年底,尤其是进入需求淡季中。而进入新年后,我们认为经济趋势会改善,OPEC会调整产量配额。黄金市场的基本面则可能转向负面,美联储很可能在2015年升息,而实际利率会转向积极的领域内,影响黄金市场的需求。”
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