每日金评

远东:2014.01.15早盘金评

日期:2014-01-15
昨天受美国数据面好于预期打压和美联储官员讲话影响,金银高位震荡下滑并走低。在经济数据方面,美国零售数据表现好於预期,虽然12月零售月率为0.2%,低於前值的0.7%,不过依然好於预期的0.1%,而核心零售月率则表现更为优秀,增长0.7%,好於预期以及前值0.4%;另外,时段内美联储官员再度表达了对於经济的乐观。普罗素与费舍尔均表达了对12月开始缩减购债规模决定的支持,费舍尔更加强硬,表示12月缩减的规模不够,并且表示在1月的投票中会赞成继续削减;虽然普罗素拒绝透漏下次利率决议时的投票选择,不过他同样表示更快的缩减购债可能更好;总之,两位联储官员的讲话客观上都起到了提振美元的作用。
  
      在走势上,昨天白盘高位窄幅横盘整理;晚盘小幅下滑至1246附近后,冲高至1255附近再回落至1241附近,并最后收低。在昨天多天的高位整理和冲高回落的走势看,今天仍有小幅向下调整的走势。
 
      在技术面上看,昨天日K线收于一根乌云盖顶的中阴线,趋势仍有小幅回调的走势。在指标上看,日线从多头逐渐有转向中性偏空趋势。从短线指标看,有较多的背离和在1255附近已构筑小双顶下滑走势,后市有向下回采10日均线的可能。综合看,今天有小幅下滑的走势。
 
白盘建议:
黄金:震荡略偏下势。建议在1231-1255附近高沽低揸,侧重高空为主。
支撑:1221-1231-1241
阻力:1248-1256-1262
 
白银:白银也仍然没有摆脱大区间19.40-20.57附近的大区间整理,后市有不断测试19.40上方支撑后,再走高的可能。今天建议在20.42-19.86附近高沽低揸,侧重先沽后揸和高空为主,损0.3元。
支撑:19.91-19.65
阻力:20.42-20.62

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