每日金评

9.13金银晚盘

日期:2016-09-13
      资深市场分析师-刘志开:

  金價在亞洲市略為回升,昨天在鴿派聯儲局總裁聲稱要多看通脹數據才能決定何時加息,金價獲得一定支持,但是加息看來是必然,祇是時間問題而已,相信這種心理壓力仍左右金價的升幅,技術上RSI和隨機指數是無大啟示,MACD有機回升但仍在負值,平均移動線來講,5天10天都下破,相信極可能作出先跌後回穩的格局,建議在1320.00至1334.20區內買賣,止損1317.00和1337.20。
 
  白銀昨天開出一支釘狀燭子,有力回升5天線,但RSI偏弱,MACD處於負值限制了升幅,上海金屬期貨期銅上升200人民幣到36,290,而期鋁也上升,相信白銀在低位有支撐,建議18.80至19.50買賣,止損18.50和19.80,以買入為主。
 
  油價回穩,環球股市反彈對油公司有穩定作用,但剛剛國際能源署(IEA)發表月報顯示,全球产品需求增長急促放緩,加上庫存不斷增加及供應上升,反映产品市場供應過剩的局面,將至少持續到2017年上半年。
 
  報告顯示,IEA將今年产品需求增長預測,由每日140萬桶,下調至每日130萬桶;明年預測則維持於每日120萬桶。IEA並將明年非油組产品產出增長預測,由每日30萬桶上調至38萬桶。報告指出,全球煉廠今年的產量增速,預計會創下最少10年來最慢。但RSI和隨機有回軟跡象,下跌的機會較大,建議44.10至45.85買賣,止損43.80和46.15。
 
  數據方面,美國有8月NFIB小型企業信心指數,預期上升至94.8。深夜2:00有美國8月政府預算。
 
  還有04:30美國上周API产品庫存變化,上次為減少1208.5萬桶,上周API汽油庫存變化和上周API蒸餾油庫存變化。
 
        以上是两位分析师提供的分析和建议仅供参考。

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