每日金评

1.21早盘金评

日期:2015-01-21
   在基本面上看,昨天黄金再次避险买盘刺激,全天大幅震荡走高。正当市场投资者焦急的等待本周欧洲央行决策的时候,IMF的世界经济前景报告再度引发了市场对全球经济放缓忧虑。周二最重要的数据中国GDP虽然好于预期,但实际数据仍然是中国20余年来最慢增长,录得年率增长7.4%;此外,也门政变总统府被占,市场避险情绪再增;还有ET持续大幅加仓,今年大幅累计加仓近62吨,目前持仓量为近772吨,去年底近710吨。受此影响,产品价格受到打压大跌近5%,现货黄金因避险支撑冲击1300关口,而欧元兑美元汇率震荡走软跌至了本周低位,欧洲央行周四QE预期市场令汇价承压。
  在走势上看,昨天黄金白盘亚盘窄幅偏下整理,欧盘后震荡走高至1294附近,晚盘回落至1284附近后,再次震荡走高至1297附近,最终全天大幅收高至1295附近,全天波幅近24美元。从昨天的走势和技术面上看,日内大势多头仍呈偏强,但短线指标已呈多次背离,有向下回调或修正的走势。
  白盘建议:
  黄金建议在1295-1298附近沽空至1290-1285附近或以下,损1303。在1282-1285附近短多,目标5-8美元,损1277。
  白银日内见17.97附近沽空至17.77-17.62附近或以下,损3美元。
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