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以SDR定价的黄金测试区间下沿 预期黄金将现反弹

日期:2018-07-27
以SDR定价的黄金测试区间下沿 预期黄金将现反弹(图1)
黄金在近几个月表现糟糕,从1360一度跌至1210.
 
  黄金与美元成反比,然而这一关系在不同时期的强弱程度不同。
 
以SDR定价的黄金测试区间下沿 预期黄金将现反弹(图2)
  有趣的是,自2016年10月人民币被纳入特别提款权(SDR)以来,以SDR定价的黄金维持在900水平附近,亦即在875-950之间窄幅波动。
 
以SDR定价的黄金测试区间下沿 预期黄金将现反弹(图3)
  而以人民币定价的黄金的波动性正在逐步减少。
  
以SDR定价的黄金测试区间下沿 预期黄金将现反弹(图4)
  从黄金和人民币(倒置)的走势来看,近期人民币与黄金具有较高的相关性。分析师Kevin Muir认为,近期黄金下行是受到人民币贬值的拖累。
以SDR定价的黄金测试区间下沿 预期黄金将现反弹(图5)
  最后,从以SDR定价的黄金走势来看,
  价格正在测试区间下沿,Kevin Muir预期价格将站稳这一水平,亦即看涨黄金以及人民币

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