汇市新闻

鹰派纪要后 美联储接下来怎么走

日期:2018-04-12
  周三(4月11日)晚间美联储如期公布3月会议纪要,纪要显示,美联储官员在最近的一次会议上看到,经济增长强劲,通货膨胀也在上升,这证明了持续加息是合理的。纪要公布之后,美元短线急涨,现货黄金则自高位持续回落。
 
  针对此次会议纪要,北欧斯安银行(SEB)研究团队撰文进行如下分析。
 
  该行指出,3月会议纪要并没有改变此前会后声明提供的前景。
 
  美联储对经济活动更为乐观的态度,对通胀将回升至目标水平的信心已经不断增强。
鹰派纪要后 美联储接下来怎么走  (图1)
  会议纪要并没有详细讨论贸易政策方面,不过多数委员认为这将给美国经济带来下行风险。
 
  北欧斯安银行表示,我们坚持美联储2018年剩余时间将额外升息3次的预期(分别是6月、9月和12月),2019年料将升息2次(分别是3月和6月)。

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