汇市新闻

坚守美元空头阵营 建议这样交易

日期:2018-01-05
周五(1月5日)亚市盘初,美元继续低位徘徊于92关口下方,尽管周三受美联储会议纪要提振大涨,但周四回吐此前所有涨幅,继续重启跌势。目前看来,美元周三的涨势似乎只是跌势的暂停,而非走势的逆转。

针对美元前景,道明证券(TD Securities)外汇策略研究团队撰文分析如下:

该行表示,自年初开始就坚定站在美元空头的阵营当中。

坚守美元空头阵营 建议这样交易(图1)

这种观点继续依赖于全球再通胀、美国之外的产出缺口关闭和全球资本流动持续的区域转移之间的联系上。
 

目前,我们的推荐交易是做空美元/日元以及美元/加元,不过我们继续倾向于逢低买入欧元/美元。
 

欧元/美元当前的走势与我们的高频公允价值模型(HFFV)一致,需要突破9月高点1.21来建立更高的交投区间。
 

北京时间1月5日09:05,欧元/美元报1.2075/79。
 

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