市场当前已经全面消化了明年升息一次的预期，而在接下来的12个月里，加息两次的几率为65%。
据CME“美联储观察”，美联储明年3月加息25个基点至1.5%-1.75%区间的概率为56.4%，明年6月至该区间概率为45.7%。
对此，三菱东京日联银行欧洲业务主管Derek Halpenny撰文指出，预计美联储在2018年初对于进一步升息保持谨慎。
我们预计不太可能会看到未来几个月美国经济数据出现大幅提高，如果在通胀方面仍保持相同形势，很可能会导致FOMC在已经实施的五次加息后采取进一步行动持谨慎态度，这也是我们认为美元在未来几个月或进一步走软的原因。
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