美元看起来波澜不惊，但从实际收益率考虑，美元估值有点贵。而欧元目前则很便宜，但需要市场对未来进行贴现，以便从欧洲央行（ECB）2019年才开始的升息周期中获益。
与此同时，2018年日元多头可能还需要等上更长的时间，日本央行（BOJ）才会让日元脱离束缚，而一旦日元开始上涨，则就会是一场“大爆发”。
从基本面来看，日元和欧元均有巨额的经常账户盈余，且是“便宜”的货币。欧元首先正在复苏，日元将紧随其后，但会有所滞后。
目前英镑相对纽元、加元和澳元更为便宜。做多加元兑纽元和美元似乎是更好的交易策略。
此外，做多瑞郎兑挪威克朗也是2018年可以实施的交易策略，这是在假设全球宏观环境持续良好的情况下。
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