该行指出，正如预期一致，美联储在周三的会议上上调联邦基金利率25个基点至1.25%-1.50%。投票反对加息的包括委员卡什卡利以及埃文斯，他们倾向于在此次会议上维持利率不变。
市场对此次会议的波动较小。委员会对联邦基金利率的中期预期较9月会议依旧未变，这暗示2018年仍加息3次，2019年升息2次。
点阵图显示，10名FOMC委员预计2018年升息3次及以上，9月会议上是11名委员预期如此。
我们坚持此前预期，即美联储将在2018年升息3次。我们认为对通胀的担忧令美联储把2018年第一次升息放在6月，随后分别在9月和12月升息。但是，如果通胀短期内进一步走坚，那么第一次升息放在3月也不无可能。2019年我们预计将会升息1次。
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