该行指出，我们一直认为美国税改是一件举足轻重的大事，将在2018年初支持美元，理由如下：
1、税改包括了大量的财政刺激。
2、税改可能促使美联储进行更多升息。即使没有税改，我们预计美联储明年将升息三次，与点阵图预期一致。而在税改实施的情况下，美联储明年可能升息4次甚至5次。不过市场当下依旧预计2018-2019年仅升息3次。
3、可能会触发大规模的利润汇回。在海外以现金支付较低税率后，美国企业没有理由不将这些资金中的一部分带回美国。
美银美林总结成，我们预计美元在明年初将会走强，因市场将会在卖出传闻后，买入税改的事实。
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