日内野村证券（Nomura）外汇策略研究团队撰文讨论了本周欧洲央行（ECB）货币政策会议前欧元的汇率前景，主要内容如下：
预计欧元不会对欧洲央行货币政策声明有任何大的反应，但维持本行对欧元的中期看涨观点。即便欧洲央行10月公布的利率决议令市场相当失望，但之后欧元一直维持非常弹性的交易。在我们看来，这主要受英国央行基本平衡状况改善的提振。
即便本周欧洲央行可能不会提供新的刺激因素，但欧元下行风险料受限。
进入2018年年中前，预计欧洲央行政策沟通将逐步转为鹰派，这将导致市场定价明年9月结束QE购债。之后预计欧元将加速升值，但当前阶段可能将继续维持区间交投。
北京时间10:00，欧元/美元报1.1776/78。
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