汇市新闻

道明证券:美元指数最新走势前瞻

日期:2017-12-07

周四(12月7日)亚市早盘,美元指数位于93.55附近水平徘徊。

日内道明证券(TDS)外汇策略研究撰文讨论了美元走势前景,主要内容如下:

近期美元涨势可能是“昙花一现”,之后可能因本周五(12月8日)将公布的美国11月非农就业报告而走势反转。

道明证券:美元指数最新走势前瞻(图1)

过去的几个交易日以来,美元已经小幅反弹,对G10中的多数货币走强。目前的交易信号很弱,本行的“顶部-底部”宏观模型仅显示美元0.4%的贴现率,因此并未看到更大幅度的贴现,这可能很快就会被市场变现。

 至少这一背景加大了本周G10货币对美国经济数据的敏感性。与此同时,美国政府关门也是另一种风险,这让刚刚起步的美元复苏对非农数据的回调十分敏感。

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