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首席分析师:欧元、英镑、日元及澳元最新走势分析

日期:2017-10-06
国外财经网(博客,微博)站FXStreet首席分析师Valeria Bednarik周一(10月2日)撰文就欧元、英镑、日元和澳元最新走势进行了分析。
  

欧元/美元
  

对欧元来说,又一个艰难的一周开启,其承压于西班牙的政局动荡。加泰罗尼亚的独立公投导致数百人受伤,警察与当地投票人员发生冲突,继英国脱欧之后令市场再次担忧欧盟的脆弱性。这一意料之外的暴力事件只会加深西班牙政治危机,引发了联合国人权事务高级专员Zeid Ra"ad Al Hussein的回应,他呼吁“对所有暴力行为进行独立和公正的调查”。此前一周,默克尔在德国大选中获胜。尽管宏观经济数据显示欧盟经济增长稳健,但当欧盟本身存在疑问时,这些数据毫无价值。
  
首席分析师:欧元、英镑、日元及澳元最新走势分析(图1)
数据方面,9月Markit制造业PMI终值修正为58.1,高于8月的57.4,也高于预期的58.2,表明制造业状况已升至逾六年半以来的最大扩张水平。不过,美国的数据也高于预期,阻止该货币对在当天晚些时候恢复元气。9月份,美国ISM制造业指数为60.8,高于此前的58.8。明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利发表了温和的讲话,他声称美联储应该对较弱的通货膨胀负责,在通货膨胀达到2.0%之前,不应该提高利率。
  

该货币对收于1.1740区域,稍早一度跌势1.1730,盘中走势显示出持续的看跌基调,因汇价维持在9月低位1.1716附近,进一步远离1.1820/30区域,其是当前的关键阻力区域。4小时图上,汇价收于所有移动均线下方,尽管20均线仍持平于1.1780附近,表明看跌趋势已丧失动能,至少暂时如此。
 
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