汇市新闻

加拿大二季度经济表现靓丽 加央行再度升息预期升温

日期:2017-09-01
加拿大统计局周四(8月31日)公布的数据显示,加拿大第二季度实质国内生产总值(GDP)环比年率为增长4.5%,远高于增长3.7%的预期,创下自2011年第三季度以来最高增幅。
  

第一季度GDP数据未修正,仍为增长3.7%。
  

数据表明加拿大第二季经济增长率为近六年来最高,得益于消费者支出和能源类出口增长强劲,提升了对该国央行到10月再度升息的预期。
  

第二季度经济增长亦远高于加拿大央行(BOC)预估,延续近期的强劲势头。经济强劲增长,已促使加央行在7月进行7年来首次升息。
  

加拿大二季度经济表现靓丽 加央行再度升息预期升温(图1)
加拿大经济在第三季度来临时表现稳健,6月增长0.3%,表明下半年动能会比预期更强劲。
  

受此影响,加元兑美元走强,交易商提高可能最快下个月升息25个基点的押注。
  

市场认为加拿大央行9月会议再次升息的几率为34.2%,数据出炉前为20.9%。大多数押注10月升息,几率从72.4%升至83%。
  

消费者第二季度继续支撑着经济,家庭消费增加,加拿大人斥资购车。
  

与此同时,加拿大企业投资小幅上升,企业在非住宅建筑物、机械和设备的支出增加。库存亦增,尤其是制造业和贸易业库存。
  

但有迹象显示,加拿大第二季度房屋市场趋弱,住宅类建筑物投资下降。
 
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