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美联储卡普兰:通胀重燃前不支持加息 乐见9月会议启动缩表

日期:2017-08-25
 美国达拉斯联储主席卡普兰(Robert Kaplan)周四(8月24日)在杰克逊霍尔年会间隙接受采访时称,在通胀重新抬头前不支持年内进一步加息,但他乐见美联储最早在9月份的会议上启动资产负债表的缩减。
  

卡普兰重申了近期的观点,即官员们应该更加耐心,在今年再次加息之前应等待通胀重燃的迹象。他称,“美联储可以在本次加息周期中将利率提高到2%至3%,相比3%可能更接近2%”,与5年或者10年前有所不同。”
  

美联储卡普兰:通胀重燃前不支持加息 乐见9月会议启动缩表(图1)
同时,卡普兰表示,自己想看到通货膨胀率会回升到2%目标的证据后再同意下一次加息。他补充道,“我不是说我们不会在年底前采取行动,美联储内部对通货膨胀前景的讨论并不存在"危机",而只是"辩论"。当存在争议的时候,我认为保持耐心会有收获。”
  

关于缩减资产负债表方面,他认为美联储应当“马上启动资产负债表的进程,最早可以在9月会议上宣布。”卡普兰今年对货币政策拥有投票权。
  

本周四至周六(8月26日)杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会正在召开。今年的杰克逊霍尔会议亮点包括,美联储主席耶伦(Janet Yellen)将于北京时间周五(8月25日)22:00发表讲话,之后周六凌晨03:00,欧洲央行行长德拉基(Mario Draghi)也将发表演讲。今年会议的背景是,全球经济增长温和改善,失业率下降,但通货膨胀率却未能如预期一样上升。
 
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