汇市新闻

欧元欲回撤?两大顶级投行:最新走势分析

日期:2017-08-15
周一(8月14日)欧市盘中,欧元/美元温和下跌,跌破1.18关口,最低下挫至1.1790,支撑位看1.1785,缘于美元的企稳回升。
  

技术面来看,上方1.1900关口仍是重要阻力,需要有效突破该水平才能确认涨势的恢复,而下方则是弱跌破20日均线和1.1700关口,将意味着修正的进一步延续。
  

从更长期角度来看,随着欧洲央行9月份很可能会开始准备转向收紧政策,欧元/美元还是会倾向于上行,而技术上此前有效突破1.1500关口也已经意味着中期低位震荡行情的结束。
  

高盛技术分析师汇价尚未完成修正,需要更长时间的盘整或深度回撤。关注下一个重大的中枢点支撑1.1626-1.1532,为4月上行趋势线和ABC浪高位以及23.6%回撤位所在。
  
欧元欲回撤?两大顶级投行:最新走势分析(图1)
该行预计难以跌破该区域,若破将打开跌向38.2%回撤位1.1369的大门。由于这是第4浪,汇价应该不会进一步下跌。
  

德国商业银行高级技术分析师Axel Rudolph表示,欧元/美元位于1.1543上方仍看涨。
  

汇价上周回撤,之后自短期上行趋势线1.1737反弹,短期支撑位于1.1737和5个月上升趋势线1.1543,位于该位上方,汇价仍有上涨空间。
  

初步阻力位于1.1850,突破1.1910将指向1.2040(2012年低位),然后为自2014年高点以来跌势的50%回档位1.2170。跌破1.1737将指向近期低位1.1688。
 
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