汇市新闻

澳洲国民银行:欧元/美元涨势已殆尽?

日期:2017-08-08
澳洲国民银行(NAB)分析师周二(8月8日)撰文就欧元/美元的后市表现进行分析,具体内容如下:

该行外汇策略研究团队指出,在过去的两周内欧元/美元从低点1.16涨至1.18之上,已经突破2014年5月至2017年1月整个下行趋势线1.40/1.0340的38.2%回撤位。

尽管美元弱势明显是部分组成因素,但欧元成为过去两周内表现最佳的货币。
  

我们在一个月前已经上调欧元/美元3季度预期——从1.12至1.17,目前我们不再进一步上调。
  

尽管我们承认欧元在未来几周有测试1.20水平的风险,特别是美元再一次走低的话(包括美指明显跌破92水平)。此前提及的斐波那契50%回撤位位于1.2167。
  

也就是说,我们继续认为美元至年底修正将会令欧元/美元至少温和走低,等待2018年更大的行情。就这方面而言,欧元总的净投机IMM期货头寸目前接近历史极值。
  

北京时间8月8日07:24,欧元/美元报1.1795/96。
 
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