汇市新闻

法兴银行:美/日涨势遇拦路虎 接下来何去何从?

日期:2017-06-23
     周五(6月23日)亚市盘初,美元/日元位于111.30附近水平徘徊。日内汇价陷入窄幅整理格局,延续上一交易日以来的盘整态势。

  日内法国兴业银行(601166,股吧)(SocGen)外汇分析师撰文对美元/日元走势作出简要分析,主要内容如下:
  美元/日元仍在追随美国10年期国债收益率走势,目前汇价上行因此受限。

  如果美国10年期国债实际收益率以30个点为基础,则下行趋势线阻力为50个基点,美元/日元下方关键支撑位于108,但当前阻力位于112附近。

  如果接下来几个交易日美国10年期国债收益率下滑,则将重新测试年内低位2.12%,则预计美元/日元将再度测试108支撑位,之后可能再度涨向其交易区间上轨。

  日元空头接下来可能面临的一个利好因素是,日本债市和股市的资金外流。过去的3个月以来,日内股市和债市资金净流出几乎达到了5万亿日元。

  北京时间07:25,美元/日元报111.26/27。

 
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