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欧元自六个月高位急挫 法大选后面临威胁仍未消退

日期:2017-05-09

欧元自六个月高位急挫 法大选后面临威胁仍未消退(图1)

        欧元兑美元周一(5月8日)自六个月高位回落,此前马克龙在法国大选中获胜,自两周前马克龙赢得首轮投票以来,投资者在欧元录得涨幅3%的过程中获利了结。一些分析师称,尽管欧元区前景改善,但欧元面临的威胁没有消退。

  马克龙周日获得压倒性胜利,欧元兑美元升穿1.10水准,为11月美国大选以来的最高位。
 
  丰业银行首席外汇策略师Shaun Osborne称,“马克龙获胜已基本被欧元消化,今日迄今现货市场交易量很大,表明至少市场将回吐4月和5月的部分涨幅。”
 
  同时,避险的日元和瑞郎周一下跌,因随着马克龙获胜后,市场风险偏好回升。

欧元自六个月高位急挫 法大选后面临威胁仍未消退(图2)

  投资者将承诺让法国脱欧的勒庞联系在一起的政治风险去除后,市场将注意力集中在经济基本面,以及欧洲和美国货币政策正常化步伐上。
 
  上周五发布的数据显示,在截至上周二当周,作空欧元的头寸达到2014年5月初以来最低水平,表明对欧元的乐观情绪升温。
 
  但一些分析师称,尽管欧元区前景改善,但欧元面临的威胁没有消退。
 
  Forex.com研究主管James Chen称,“马克龙和其"前进"运动需要在法国政府内得到大量支持,才能推进其亲欧元的计划。”

欧元自六个月高位急挫 法大选后面临威胁仍未消退(图3)

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