汇市新闻

三大理由!歐元將進一步上攻目標何在?

日期:2017-04-03

       瑞士信貸(Credit Suisse)外匯策略研究部分最新撰文稱,未來數月,歐元/美元將進一步走高,理由如下:
 
  1、法國大選,勒龐不會勝利,有利於風險溢價將歐元/美元2個月的隐含波動率計入價中,以及風險情緒的逆轉,進而導致歐元反彈;
 
  2、歐元的經常帳盈餘對於歐元將是一個長期的支持,歐洲央行的略顯鷹派的基調,再加上全球儲備資産管理人的歐元儲備仍接近於歷史低位,從而給予歐元進一步上行的空間;
 
  3、盡管歐元近期複蘇,但是歐元區的股票今年以來的上行勢頭仍然良好,也有利於歐元進一步走高。
 
  綜上所述,瑞士信貸目前預計歐元/美元3個月目標價在1.10,12個月目標價在1.12。
 
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