汇市新闻

德银继续看好美元涨势 因美国可能实施边境税

日期:2017-02-22
  德意志银行分析师在21日发布的最新报告中表示,尽管近期美元涨势有些乏力,但这并不妨碍该机构继续看涨美元,部分归因于美国可能实施边境税。该行外汇策略师预计美元将进一步上涨10%。
 
  报告指出,德银继续对强势美元对于大宗商品的潜在影响感到忧虑。该行大宗商品分析师预计油价上行空间相当有限,布伦特新一期货年底目标在57美元/桶。
 
  美国总统特朗普曾声称要对在海外生产并将产品销往美国的制造商征收高额“边境税”。在极端的情况下,要完全抵消这一可能的税收政策所带来的价格变动,美元的升值幅度可能会达到15%。
 
  德银指出,美联储上次政策会议纪要将于本周三发布,这是投资者的关注焦点,他们将试图从中寻找加息方面的线索。
 
  除德银外,花旗也发布报告看涨美元。花旗分析师表示,中长期内财政政策和美联储加息可能支撑美元,未来6至12个月美元兑主要货币均有望上涨。
 
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