汇市新闻

日本央行如期按兵不动 日元与黄金双双拉升

日期:2017-02-01
  日本央行(BOJ)周二(1月31日)维持货币政策不变,一如市场预期,同时美元兑日元继续下跌,并触及103.21的日内低位,现货黄金则突破1200美元关口,触及1201.84美元/盎司的盘中高位。由于美国总统特朗普(Donald Trump)上周末签署移民政策行政令,引发不确定性升温,日元、黄金等避险资产均从中获益。
 
  日本央行以7-2的投票比例维持政策利率在-0.1%不变,维持10年期国债收益率为0%,并维持日本国债持有量年增幅80万亿日元的规模,但购债计划将延长一年。日本央行表示,如有必要将调整货币政策。
 
  与此同时,日本央行还在展望报告中称,2016年12月的CPI好于预期,核心CPI年率创十个月来最佳水平。日本核心CPI连续10个月下降,但这次是自2016年2月以来跌幅最小的一次。
 
  日本央行还表示,2016财年核心CPI预期为-0.2%,GDP增速预期为1.4%;预计2017财年GDP增速为1.5%,2018年为1.1%;预计2017财年核心CPI为1.5%,2018年为1.7%。
 
  此外,该央行指出,为达到通胀目标,将继续QQE项目和收益率曲线控制计划,将继续扩大基础货币直至CPI超过或维持在2%以上。
 
  随着油价慢慢从2015年的崩跌中复苏以及自去年11月中旬以来日元的弱势,越来越多的分析师认为,日本通胀率将在今年晚些时候达到1%或更高。
 
  日本央行公布决议后,美元/日元短线下挫,触及113.21的盘中低位,随后略微缩减跌幅;现货黄金则进一步攀升,触及1201.94美元/盎司的盘中高位。
 
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