汇市新闻

加拿大皇家银行称 看好日元长期表现

日期:2017-01-17
  加拿大皇家银行(RBC)策略师在最新报告中表示,虽然美元兑日元汇率可能在2017年一季度轻松升至120,但似乎更受到投机力量的驱动。该机构看好日元的长期表现,预计2018年一季度美元兑日元汇率将走低至105水平。
 
  报告指出,由于此前美国候任总统特朗普的记者会未提及经济政策的新信息,美元兑一篮子货币上周创下去年11月初以来表现最差的一周纪录。美元兑日元汇率上周五早些时候曾一度上涨0.6%,但最终回吐涨幅收在平盘附近。虽然预计美联储今年会加息,但不太可能快到从实质上改变日本投资者的对冲行为。
 
  数据显示,最近一段时间内,日本投资者一直都在撤回资金,且没有迹象显示他们将资金转向海外。他们在外汇市场持有大量美元多仓,对轧仓、行情扭转等情况以及潜在转变较为敏感。
 
  加拿大皇家银行还预计,到今年一季度末英镑兑美元汇价将在1.15,二季度末美元兑加元将在1.38。
 
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