汇市新闻

巴西央行意外大幅降息 基准利率降低75基点

日期:2017-01-13
  巴西央行11日宣布,将该国基准利率(Selic)大幅降低75基点,由13.75%降至13%。此次降息幅度之大令市场感到意外。
 
  这是自去年10月以来巴西央行实施的第三次降息。该行在声明中指出,曾考虑降息50基点,但最终决定及早实施更加宽松的货币政策。由于巴西经济复苏停滞,通胀放缓,需要央行采取更加积极的支持措施。未来是否进一步降息,将取决于通胀预期。
 
  同日出炉的通胀数据也对巴西央行的决定给予支持。巴西地理统计局公布的数据显示,2016年巴西通胀率为6.29%,不仅低于市场预期,而且创下2013年以来的最低水平。分析人士目前预期,巴西通胀率收缩的趋势仍将持续,2017年巴西通胀率将走低至4.5%。
 
  巴西总统特梅尔表示,政府在经济方面采取的削减公共开支、改革养老体系等措施取得了一定成效,2017年政府将继续促进经济发展,巴西仍有实施更多货币宽松政策的空间。
 
  市场目前预计,巴西央行仍将继续降息,基准利率今年有望降至10.25%,从而推动巴西经济今年实现微幅增长。
 
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