汇市新闻

美联储洛克哈特:料加息循序渐进 双重使命相当接近

日期:2017-01-10
  洛克哈特预计,美联储将循序渐进加息;预测美联储2017年加息两次,也有可能是三次。
 
  洛克哈特认为,美联储相当接近实现双重使命,预计美国通胀率2017或2018年接近2%。12月份就业报告相当令人满意;就业数据显示美国可能接近于充分就业。
 
  洛克哈特指出,现在估计新政府和政策改变可能给经济带来的影响为时尚早;财政刺激最好能聚焦在提升生产率上。鉴于新政府上任后可能调整财政政策,目前风险平衡偏向上行,他将财政刺激视作上行风险。
 
  他认为,财政官员在制定未来支出计划时应保持“高度的识别能力”。在美联储洛克哈特的预期中没有纳入财政政策因素。
 
  洛克哈特表示,企业高官在投资计划方面发出了“利多的”信号。人口老龄化问题导致企业活力下降已是事实。未来3年,GDP增速将维持在2%。
 
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