汇市新闻

机构:美联储12月加息的唯一拦路虎——非农不足10万

日期:2016-11-21
  荷兰国际集团(ING)首席国际分析师Rob Carnell表示,只有发生极糟糕的事情才会阻止美联储12月升息,如非农就业岗位增长不足10万个。
 
  Carnell还称:“之后焦点将完全放在政治层面,如特朗普将会选择谁进入他的内阁,我们将必须观察这些人是支持自由贸易,还是不像特朗普竞选时主张的那样反对自由贸易,并判断财政扩张和美元等方面的政策将会如何。”
 
  汇通网此前报道,特朗普加大基建支出的计划已经推升了通胀预期,以及美联储可能加快行动的必要性。这种前景让债市长达30年的牛市行情告一段落。然而,FX678分析师认为虽然主要焦点一直放在刺激措施上,但特朗普政府的贸易政策更加关键。
 
  意大利裕信银行(UniCredit)首席美国分析师Harm Bandholz表示,从全球角度看,那可能是特朗普政府最具破坏力的部分。如果(美国)开始征收竞选时提及的那样程度的关税,很难说不会引发贸易战,并造成经济衰退,不过有迹象显示论调已经有所软化。
 
  汇通网提示,美国11月非农就业数据将于12月2日公布。自2015年12月上次升息以来,除了今年5月表现不佳外,美国每个月的就业岗位增幅都超过了10万个。
 
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