汇市新闻

渣打银行:本周美联储不太可能暗示12月加息

日期:2016-11-01
  美联储(FED)周二(11月1日)起将召开为期两天的货产品政策会议,并在周三(11月2日)公布利率决议,目前市场普遍预期本次决议将按兵不动,但投资者将把焦点集中在会后声明上面。
 
  渣打银行经济学家周一(10月31日)在报告中称,预计11月的政策声明预计和9月声明相比几无变化,联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)不太可能在11月2日的声明中就12月份的加息前景给出指引。如果给出明确的指引,将会是一个鹰派的意外。
 
  该行表示,9月的声明已经为FOMC加息留出了充足的弹性空间,不需要再写入新的措辞,这样可能会让市场预期变得更为复杂。
 
  同时,渣打银行还指出,FOMC可能对目前的沟通状况感到满意,并可能会改变或者是删除有关全球经济和金融形势进展的措辞,这样做的话显示出FOMC对于全球形势愈发满意。
 
  渣打银行经济学家在报告中写道,“虽然我们仍然预计12月份美联储不会行动,但12月加息越来越像是一件五五开的事情。”
 
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