汇市新闻

黄金价格走势与特朗普竞选的关系

日期:2016-10-20
  “当主流媒体报道特朗普获胜的几率在40%以上或20%之下时,黄金就会有反应,”CNBC援引加拿大皇家银行资本市场大宗商品策略师Chris Louney周二称,“我们已经看到了两者从高峰到低谷匹配,但只有他胜出几率在这些区间内波动时才会这样。”
黄金价格走势与特朗普竞选的关系(图1)
  特朗普与金价同处高峰
 
  Louney表示,截至7月的过去一年里,得益于货产品政策及英国退欧产生相关的不确定性,黄金TD的行情却“闪闪发光”。但是,未来一个月,政治风险将有可能成为黄金TD价格走势的关键催化剂。
 
  在过去五个月里,特朗普支持率在最高值时,都正好是黄金处于高位的时候。比如说,8月初,现货黄金逼近1400美元。以人民产品计价的黄金T+D则到达了296的位置,一度试图突破300大关!
 
  金价剑指300一线大关
 
  而当时根据美国民调机构FiveThirtyEight的显示,特朗普获胜概率在50%以上。9月,特朗普胜出几率在46%时,黄金触及了322一线的高位。
 
  相反,近期特朗普支持率一路下滑,黄金则处在低位,而当他的支持率下跌到20%之下时,黄金价格也下滑了7%。据FiveThirtyEight网站,希拉里仍领先于特朗普,他的支持率仅为12.8%。
 
  北京时间周四(10月20日)早上09:00,美国大选第三轮辩论即将开始。08:40黄金T+D报275.97元/克。
 
  远东贵金属首发最精准的黄金行情分析,<黄金交易投资开户>www.fe062.com,转载请注明出处.投资严格止损,行情仅供参考!

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