汇市新闻

凯投宏观:加拿大央行本周料按兵不动 明年降息25个基点

日期:2016-10-17
  凯投宏观(Capital Economics)经济学家Paul Ashworth上周五(10月14日)在报告中称,由于就业增长以及三季度GDP反弹将为经济朝着正确的方向前进提供一些佐证,加拿大央行(BOC)预计将在本周三(10月19日)的货产品政策会议上维持利率不变。
 
  不过,凯投宏观认为,房产市场低迷将影响经济增长,并且将迫使加拿大央行在2017年把利率从当前的0.5%下调至0.25%。
 
  Ashworth在报告中写道,“加拿大7月GDP数据强劲完全是由于油气开采量高于预期。就目前看来,未来进一步增长的空间降低。”
 
  此外,Ashworth还指出,“加拿大出口商应受益于加元走弱,但美国增长减缓又带来了阻碍。同时,因增长疲软限制了国内物价,预计未来数月加拿大潜在通胀进一步下降。”
 
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