汇市新闻

花旗:欧洲央行12月将一次性缩减QE规模 并延长QE六个月

日期:2016-10-11
  花旗(Citi)经济学家Guillaume Menuet周一(10月10日)在报告中称,对于欧洲央行(ECB)12月会议的基准情形是,该央行将把量化宽松(QE)项目延长6个月到至少2017年9月,同时单月购债规模料从800亿欧元降至600亿。
 
  花旗预计,单月购债规模的首次一次性缩减将在今年12月或2017年3月的会议上宣布。
 
  该行还指出,在欧洲央行发出全面退出的信号前,可能需要再延长6个月至2018年3月,规模降至最低每月400亿欧元。最大的可能是该进程持续6个月,到2018年9月结束,规模每月减少100亿欧元。
 
  另外,花旗目前仍预计,欧洲央行购债会再持续18个月,从4月起规模约为7000亿欧元。
 
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