汇市新闻

高盛报告称美联储9月加息概率较小

日期:2016-09-14
  高盛集团经济学家最新公布的研报显示,不看好美联储下周加息。在最近几日决策者释放一系列模糊不清的信号后,该机构决定大幅下调9月加息几率。
 
  高盛首席经济学家哈祖斯表示,其研究团队将美联储在9月议息会议加息的可能性由此前的40%下调至25%。该团队还将美联储12月收紧政策的几率由30%上调至40%。高盛经济学家表示,包括周一联储理事布雷纳德的言论在内,一系列联储官员讲话的共同主题是,缺乏明确的信号表明联邦公开市场委员会可能在9月会议上加息。缺乏信号是有意为之,因为如果有可能采取行动,委员们通常会努力推动市场预期将加息。
 
  对于美股市场,高盛美股首席策略分析师考斯丁表示,目前一些不确定性因素可能会打击美国股市。例如美国大选,民调显示大选在近几周变得更焦灼,两位候选人的差距大幅缩小。此外,令人失望的美国经济数据同样增加了上市公司财报不及预期的可能性,使股市进一步下跌。
 
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