汇市新闻

三菱东京日联:耶伦揭开9月会议大幕 9月加息“十拿九稳”

日期:2016-08-29
  三菱东京日联银行经济学家Chris Rupkey表示,美联储(FED)主席耶伦(在杰克逊霍尔年会的讲话正在揭开美联储9月会议的大幕,“让我们可以洞察他们可能在考虑什么”。
 
  Rupkey在最新的报告中写道,9个月后再加息“足够谨慎”,“他们将在9月份行动,这绝对是十拿九稳的押注”。
 
  Rupkey并称,“不确定股市是否听到这个消息”,“难道他们不知道耶伦差点就说她要收紧货产品政策了?”
 
  美联储主席耶伦周五(8月26日)在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔举行的全球央行官员年会表示,近几个月加息的可能性增强,为最早9月就加息埋下伏笔。
 
  她没有具体说明美联储会在何时加息,不过耶伦表示,美国经济正在创造大量新的就业岗位,并可能保持温和增长。
 
  耶伦说道:“鉴于就业市场表现持续稳健,以及我们对经济活动和通胀的展望,我认为,近几个月上调联邦基金利率的可能性已经增强。”她还称,美联储仍认为未来加息应是“循序渐进的”。
 
  Rupkey指出,如果美联储官员正在接近就业和通胀目标,那么他们也在接近加息的时机。
 
  他在报告中写道:“如果不是几乎确定9月份是重启以渐进和谨慎步伐加息的时间,耶伦就不会揭开大幕。”
 
  美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)定于9月20-21日召开下次会议。
 
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