匯市新聞

全球三大頂級外匯交易商認爲英鎊跌勢仍看不到終點

日期:2016-07-13
  全球三大頂級外匯交易商認爲,?英鎊大跌态勢一時看不到終點。
  
  高盛、德意志銀行和花旗認爲,英國決定脫歐後,英鎊周三跌到31年低點,預計今年餘下時間可能還會再下挫7%-11%。據高盛與花旗,由於預期英國央行爲控制公投結果給經濟帶來的沖擊将下調利率,英鎊兌美元有望貶至1.20美元。德意志銀行更加悲觀,預計英鎊到今年年底跌至1.15美元。
  
  「問題在於,跌到那個水平需要多長時間?」花旗駐倫敦的歐洲G-10貨産品策略主管Richard Cochinos在接受彭博電視采訪時說。花旗在《Euromoney》雜志的全球外匯交易商排名中高居首位。 「英鎊止跌前,不管長期内還是短期内,都需要投資者投入更大量的資金。」
  
  過去兩個交易日,英鎊重挫至30年來的低點,因爲越來越多證據表明脫歐決定正在削弱對英國經濟的信心。随着房地産震蕩、房地産基金凍結贖回,投資者日益擔心英國未能控制住公投沖擊波将導致該國經濟陷入衰退。
  
  「我們調整預測,預計英鎊将進一步走弱,因爲英國央行的政策回應将推動英鎊下行,」包括首席外匯策略師Robin Brooks在内的高盛分析師在報告中寫道。高盛是全球第七大外匯交易商,該行預測英鎊兌美元未來三個月、六個月和12個月,将分别達到1.20美元、1.21美元和1.25美元。
  
  遠東貴金屬首發最精準的黃金行情分析,<黃金交易投資開戶>www.fe062.com,轉載請注明出處.投資嚴格止損,行情僅供參考!

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