汇市新闻

英国脱欧或导致欧元区经济下滑 且下档风险日益增加

日期:2016-07-11
  国际货产品基金组织(IMF)周五称,受英国退欧不确定性影响,预计2017年欧元区经济增长率从2016年的1.6%放缓至1.4%,且下档风险日益增加。
  
  IMF在最新发布的欧元区年度政策评估报告中称,全球增长进一步放缓可能阻碍欧元区以内需主导的经济复苏,英国退欧影响进一步扩散,难民急增,安全忧虑加剧和银行业疲弱等因素可能拖累经济成长。
  
  但IMF欧洲部门副主任Mahmood Pradhan称,如果欧盟和英国间的脱欧谈判久拖不决,并导致金融市场避险情绪长时间存在,欧元区增长将会进一步放缓。
  
  “我们认为,如果避险情绪长时间持续,将会加剧给欧元区增长造成的影响,目前很难确定会持续多久,”Pradhan在新闻发布会上告诉记者。
  
  IMF在报告中称,欧元区中期成长前景“平平”,受制于高失业率、公共和民间债务高企、根深蒂固的结构性疲弱等危机后遗留问题。
  
  “受此影响,未来五年的年增长率约为1.5%,通胀率仅能达到1.7%,”IMF称。
  
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