汇市新闻

英国脱欧后 美国陷经济衰退概率或达50%

日期:2016-06-29
  骏利全球无限制债券基金的经理比尔·格罗斯表示,在英国上周投票选择脱离欧盟后,美国陷入经济衰退的机率可能高达50%。
  
  格罗斯在Fox Business Network上镜时表示,美国10年期国债殖利率可能从周一的1.45%左右跌至1.25%。与日本和德国的负殖利率相比,即便美国国债殖利率走低,对投资者依然有吸引力。
  
  格罗斯表示,这样的国债殖利率差距可能会推高美元,把美国陷入衰退的机率推高至30%-50%的区间。他说,虽然英国在全球经济中占比不高,但是上周的公投将导致全球的贸易、人口流动和经济成长减速,而这些因素多年来一直是推动经济扩张的力量。
  
  「正如我们所知道的那样,这是全球化的终点,」格罗斯表示。
  
  格罗斯上周五在彭博电视表示,美国抵押贷款支持证券是投资者潜在的避险资产,这类证券与美国国债的信贷风险类似,但可以提供更高的殖利率。
  
  截至上周,他所管理的14亿美元的骏利全球无限制债券基金今年上涨3.1%,强于彭博跟踪的78%的同类基金。格罗斯2014年10月份辞任太平洋(601099,股吧)投资管理公司首席投资官并接手该基金以来,它的回报率为2.1%。
  
  远东贵金属首发最精准的黄金行情分析,<黄金交易投资开户>www.fe062.com,转载请注明出处.投资严格止损,行情仅供参考!

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