汇市新闻

劳埃德银行:预计年底澳元兑美元将攀升至0.77

日期:2016-06-14
  FX168财经报社(香港)讯劳埃德银行(Lloyds Bank)分析师们周一(6月13日)预计,受澳大利亚经济数据支撑,年底澳元/美元将进一步走高。
  
  该行分析师们在汇市研报中写道:
  
  4月底,澳元/美元一度触及年内新高0.7835,随后至5月底之前持续承压,下滑近9%至0.7150下方。这一走势主要受到美联储近期加息预期持续攀升所推动。不过,美国最新就业报告表现疲弱,导致市场排除本月加息预期,引发澳元/美元大幅走高。澳洲联储在最近一次的政策会议上维持利率不变之后,澳元延续反弹势头。
  
  由于政策预期收敛,该货产品对当前位于中档水平0.74附近。近期公布的澳大利亚数据表现强劲,失业率(5.7%)和第一季度GDP(按年增长3.1%)均高于共识,此外贸易赤字大幅缩小(从22亿美元下降至16亿美元),都支撑了澳洲联储主席史蒂文斯最近发表的乐观基调。尽管通货膨胀率依然温和,导致澳洲联储面临进一步放宽的风险,但我们依然认为,经济数据将继续保持强劲,预计澳元/美元年底将攀升至0.77。
  
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