汇市新闻

法巴:耶伦讲话后美元仍脆弱不堪 预计欧元将升向1.16

日期:2016-06-08
  法国巴黎银行周二(6月7日)撰文称,尽管美联储主席耶伦对经济前景基本乐观,但并未忽略上周五的非农报告,指出数据给前景带来了“新的问题”。美联储评论给人留下的印象就是6月加息已经排除,7月也看似非常不可能会加息。联邦基金期货银行的2016年12月加息概率回至耶伦3月晚些时候讲话之后的水平。
  
  鉴于疲弱非农报告,未来数周市场不太可能会重新构筑加息预期,如未来出炉的数据表现脆弱,美国近期利率还将有下滑空间。
  
  这使得美元显得非常脆弱,日本央行可能会在6月或7月进一步宽松料使得美元/日元不会进一步大幅下滑,欧元/美元则有升向1.16的空间。
  
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