汇市新闻

CIBC:就业报告并未使FED偏离加息轨道 仍预计9月加息

日期:2016-06-07
  FX168财经报社(香港)讯加拿大帝国商业银行(CIBC)周一(6月6日)撰文指出,鉴于5月非农就业报告表现疲弱,美联储6月加息预期回落,耶伦主席今日讲话的重要性有所下降。
  
  尽管如此,耶伦强调,市场不应过度强调单一报告的重要性,近期经济中的积极因素盖过了消极消极因素。此外,尽管通胀和通胀预期仍然低于目标,耶伦表示,虽然经济仍存在不确定性,但在美联储所有经济目标充分达到之前紧缩政策仍然是适当的。话虽如此,耶伦的确描绘出了较低中性利率的图景。她在演讲中数次提到,当前的货产品政策立场应仅被视为适度宽松,与市场认为的接近于零的利率意味着重大刺激这一观念形成对比。
  
  总之,就业报告并未使得美联储偏离希望今年晚些时候加息这一轨道,但考虑到近期数据中的波动性,预计加息仍将遵循渐进路径。
  
  该行因此仍预计,美联储将于9月加息。
  
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