汇市新闻

美联储在夏季再次加息的门槛“太高”

日期:2016-05-24
       渣打银行(Standard Chartered)经济学家Thomas Costerg周一(5月23日)在报告中称,“上周的美联储4月会议纪要以及纽约联储主席杜德利讲话中的鹰派基调,挑战了我们对今夏不会加息的预期,但这还不足以让我们改变观点。”   
 
  Costerg表示,“渣打需要看到来自美联储主席耶伦(Jannet Yellen)的更多鹰派评论和经济数据的显著改善。目前依然预期在12月份之前联储会按兵不动,并且联储届时将会降息。”
 
  他指出,“最近美联储鹰派的回潮部分反映了美联储官员对市场有关夏天加息的低预期感到"有些恼火"。”
 
  渣打银行认为,6月23日进行的英国退欧公投依然是美联储下月采取行动的“巨大障碍”。
 
  Costerg表示,“即使美联储真得在夏季实施了一次加息,2016年将非常不可能出现本轮的第三次加息,并且渣打依然预期今年12月份会降息。”

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