该行全球外汇策略部门指出，其下修是受到住房市场所影响，这表明降低利率对房地产市场的潜在风险低于上年同期。市场相应下调了澳洲联储降息预期，当前预计6月和7月很可能将不再降息。
然而，降息预期的重新定价并未导致我们转而看多澳元，因产能过剩的亚洲经济体的通货紧缩压力依然存在。
中国土地价格持续上涨，据今早报道称，中国东部城市南京和苏州达到每平方米3万至4万人民产品，这表明最近的货产品宽松政策转化为投机活动，但并未对经济产生广泛支撑。价格泡沫提升了通货紧缩的风险。
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