汇市新闻

加元将继续贬值 美元兑加元年底上看至1.38

日期:2016-05-05
  专家预期加元将进一步贬值,因为美国的经济增长继续表现突出,而美联储(FED)也将进一步实现其利率政策正常化目标。
 
  然而,美元兑加元短期内同样也面临一定阻力,因为美联储为降低风险倾向于保持谨慎立场,加拿大央行则沉溺于“按兵不动”;此外,美银美林的能源分析师团队愈加相信,美国WTI产品期货价格年底前将升至54美元/桶的水平,这无疑均将令加元的升值压力增大,而贬值的可能性减小。
 
  专家依然预计,加元仍然处在贬值的趋势上,且预计美元兑加元2016年年底将升至1.38,并预计由于加拿大央行依旧“按兵不动”、美联储的利率正常化以及国际产品价格的上涨,美元兑加元在2016年年底至2017年这段时间仍将维持在1.38水平附近,进行盘整。
 
  虽然预计加元将进一步贬值,但专家同样认为,前期的升值使得加元已成为最受青睐的非美货产品。
 
  专家预计,美元兑加元第2季度末将升至1.33,第3季度末将升至1.37,而第3季度末则将升至1.38。
 
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